The Report
of the Iraq Inquiry
the
meeting, Mr Blair warned that, even if Saddam Hussein were
overthrown relatively
quickly,
the big issue would remain of what followed his departure in a
country that
had never
known democracy. There would be an enormous amount of work needed
to
get
post-Saddam Hussein Iraq right, even if US troops were to remain in
Iraq for up to
18 months
after any conflict.
454.
A plenary
meeting between President Bush and Mr Blair and their teams
followed
the
restricted discussion.245
During the
plenary meeting, Mr Hadley put forward three
principles
for post-Saddam Hussein Iraq: territorial integrity, democracy and
a role
for the
UN.
455.
Detailed
consideration of the options for UK force contributions in
Iraq
began in
September 2002.
456.
Military
planners advised that, in the event of the deployment of UK
land
forces,
there was a judgement to be made on whether the UK military should
be
engaged in
the conflict or post-conflict phase. Both would be difficult to
sustain.
457.
Adm Boyce
described it as “inconceivable” that the UK military would
not
contribute
“in some manner” to post-conflict tasks.
458.
On 9
September, the MOD prepared advice for the meeting between Mr
Hoon
and Secretary
Rumsfeld on 11 September, including some high level questions
on
post‑conflict
planning:
•
“How does
the military plan work” after regime change?
•
What role
would the US and others have in reconstruction?
•
How long
would military engagement last?246
459.
There is no
indication that those issues were raised during Mr Hoon’s
visit
460.
On 19
September, the Chiefs of Staff discussed a commentary on options
for
UK force
contributions in Iraq prepared by the SPG.248
461.
The SPG paper
presented four options for a UK military contribution
and
highlighted
a number of continuing strategic uncertainties: the shape of the
campaign,
its timing,
post-conflict commitments and the legal basis for military
action.249
245
Letter
Rycroft to Sedwill, 8 September 2002, ‘Prime Minister’s Meeting
with Bush, Camp David,
7
September: Public Presentation of Iraq Policy’.
246
Minute
Cholerton to APS/Secretary of State [MOD], 9 September 2002, ‘Iraq
– Defence Secretary’s
Meeting
with Rumsfeld’.
247
Telegram
1159 Washington to FCO London, 11 September 2002, ‘Iraq: Mr Hoon’s
Visit to Washington,
11
September’.
248
Minutes, 19
September 2002, Chiefs of Staff meeting.
249
Paper SPG,
19 September 2002, ‘Iraq Package Options – Military Strategic
Commentary at
19
September 2002’.
188