The Report
of the Iraq Inquiry
619.
The
evidence given to the Inquiry demonstrates that senior
military
officers
and officials in the MOD fully understood the limitations on the
size and
readiness
of the forces available for deployment on expeditionary
operations
agreed in
the 1998 Strategic Defence Review and set out in the Defence
Planning
Assumptions (DPAs).
620.
Sir Kevin
Tebbit stated that the scale of the deployment was consistent with
the
DPAs, and
that: “It was the type of operation that we expected from time to
time to be
621.
Sir Kevin
Tebbit was later asked what lessons had been learned from the
earlier
experience
in Iraq.338
One lesson
he cited was:
“… we
assumed that we would have stocks for six months, and that when we
came
to a major
operation we would have preparation time to conduct a large
scale
operation
by building up stocks in that period.
“… if we
wanted to go for a large scale, we would need six months in order
to
acquire the
necessary extra equipment, stores, personnel, clothing,
ammunition,
things like
that.”
622.
On the SDR,
Sir Kevin Tebbit told the Inquiry:
“… when we
said that the SDR did involve the ability to move up to large
scale
from time
to time, we hadn’t got a precise view, but we were looking at once
every
10 years we
could gravitate up to large scale.339
623.
Gen Jackson
told the Inquiry that:
“… the
Defence Planning Assumptions which had emerged from the
Strategic
Defence
Review of 1997/98 allowed for, from time to time, a large
commitment,
which in
land force terms was at the divisional level, this was not regarded
as
anything we
could contemplate on an enduring basis, a one-off from time to time
…
“More
germanely we would be able to maintain a medium-sized
commitment,
i.e. brigade
level, indefinitely and we could on a one-off basis add a second
medium
scale
commitment.
“There was
some small print about a small scale … but I think it is within the
ability
to produce
a second brigade on a short-term basis.”340
624.
The MOD
also understood that the deployment could not be sustained
for
more than
six months.
337
Public
hearing, 3 February 2010, page 24.
338
Private
hearing, 6 May 2010, pages 48-49.
339
Private
hearing, 6 May 2010, page 51.
340
Public
hearing, 28 July 2010, page 7.
102