6.2 |
Military planning for the invasion, January to March
2003
“UK is at a
strategic decision point … given the convergence of US
military
preparation
and timelines, continued Turkish prevarication, and the need to
maintain
pressure on
the Iraqi regime to deliver …
“From a
review of all the factors the downside military risk of UK
disengaging from
the
Northern Land Option is outweighed by the upside benefits of the
proposed
engagement
in the South.”
66.
The SPG
recommended that the Chiefs of Staff should agree Lt Gen
Reith’s
recommendation
for a force package to be deployed to the South.
67.
Adm Boyce
directed that Ministerial approval should be sought
for
Lt Gen Reith’s
recommended option while noting that a formal request from
the
US would be
needed.
68.
At their
meeting on 8 January, the Chiefs of Staff noted that there was
still a need
for the US
formally to request that any UK ground forces be switched to the
South.14
69.
Adm Boyce also
observed that it was “inconceivable that the UK would not
play
a part in
Phase IV operations, which could be enduring”. He
added:
“There
remained a need to test the plan as a winning concept, but against
that
caveat …
the plan recommended in the paper represented a sensible military
option
with a
valuable task, and that the option should be taken
forward.”
70.
Other points
made in the discussion included:
•
“The shift
in focus from North to South argued for the provision of
a
comprehensive
force package able to react to a wide range of tasks
…”
•
“The plan
was operationally sound but there were strategic implications
that
would have
to be considered. It was possible that UK forces would become
a
lynchpin
for the US campaign. This could place the UK in a difficult
position …
conversely,
the strategic influence it would offer the UK would be
significant.”
71.
The Chiefs of
Staff agreed Lt Gen Reith’s recommendations and selected the
option
of
deploying the Divisional HQ and three brigades. Ministerial
approval would be sought
in two
stages:
•
a
submission seeking approval to make the necessary forces available
and
to deploy
certain enabling elements; and
•
a further
approval to deploy the main force and to release 16 Air Assault
Brigade
from Op
FRESCO.
14
Minutes, 8
January 2003, Chiefs of Staff meeting.
397