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SECTION 6.2
MILITARY PLANNING FOR THE INVASION,
JANUARY TO MARCH 2003
Contents
Introduction and key findings ........................................................................................ 387
The switch to the South ................................................................................................ 388
CENTCOM’s proposal for a UK Division in the South ............................................ 389
MOD advice to No.10 on deployment to the South ................................................ 399
Cabinet, 16 January 2003 ....................................................................................... 412
The decision to deploy ground forces, 17 January 2003 ........................................ 413
The absence of collective Ministerial consideration of the decision to deploy UK
forces ...................................................................................................................... 419
Planning military operations .......................................................................................... 427
Military discussions with the US ............................................................................. 427
JIC Assessment, 29 January 2003: ‘The Emerging View from Baghdad’ ............... 430
Mr Blair’s meeting with President Bush, 31 January 2003 ..................................... 434
Planning for an air campaign .................................................................................. 436
The UK contribution to an air campaign ........................................................... 436
The principles of international humanitarian law .............................................. 437
Preliminary discussions on targeting ................................................................ 438
Objectives for the military campaign ....................................................................... 441
The Phase IV plan .................................................................................................. 444
Iraq’s response to an invasion ................................................................................ 449
Debate on the UK role in combat operations .......................................................... 457
Development of Phase IV planning .................................................................. 467
Commitment to military action ....................................................................................... 471
Mr Blair’s meeting, 11 March 2003: agreement to the military plan ........................ 473
DIS Memorandum, 11 March 2003: ‘Basra: Post-Saddam Governance’ ................ 483
JIC Note, 13 March 2003: ‘Saddam’s Plan for Baghdad’ ........................................ 486
Cabinet, 17 March 2003 ......................................................................................... 489
The ultimatum to Saddam Hussein ......................................................................... 490
Debates in Parliament, 18 March 2003 .................................................................. 491
The final preparations for conflict ............................................................................ 492
385
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