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SECTION 6.1
DEVELOPMENT OF THE MILITARY OPTIONS FOR AN
INVASION OF IRAQ
Contents
Introduction and key findings......................................................................................... 174
MOD Defence Planning Assumptions..................................................................... 176
The possibility of military invasion emerges.................................................................. 178
The impact of 9/11................................................................................................... 178
President Bush’s “axis of evil” speech and the UK response.................................. 182
JIC Assessment, 27 February 2002: ‘Iraq: Saddam under the Spotlight’......... 183
The MOD perspective....................................................................................... 184
Cabinet, 7 March 2002 .................................................................................... 187
The Cabinet Office ‘Iraq: Options Paper’ ......................................................... 188
Mr Hoon’s advice, 22 March 2002.................................................................... 191
Mr Blair’s meeting at Chequers, 2 April 2002.......................................................... 195
Mr Blair’s meeting with President Bush at Crawford, April 2002............................. 198
Initial consideration of UK military options..................................................................... 201
MOD contingency planning in April and May 2002................................................. 201
Mr Webb’s advice, 12 April 2002...................................................................... 202
Establishment of the “Pigott Group”.................................................................. 205
MOD advice to Mr Hoon, May 2002................................................................. 207
Meeting with Secretary Rumsfeld, 5 June 2002...................................................... 215
SPG paper, 13 June 2002....................................................................................... 217
Ministerial consideration of UK policy – July 2002........................................................ 221
Formal military planning begins.............................................................................. 221
JIC Assessment, 4 July 2002: ‘Iraq: Regime Cohesion’................................... 225
Mr Hoon’s proposal for a collective Ministerial discussion...................................... 226
The MOD’s assessment of US military plans.......................................................... 229
Mr Blair’s meeting, 23 July 2002............................................................................. 234
Cabinet Office paper, ‘Iraq: Conditions for Military Action’ ............................... 234
MOD advice for Mr Hoon ................................................................................. 237
Definition of UK force “Packages” ................................................................................ 244
MOD advice, 26 July 2002...................................................................................... 244
171
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