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The Report of the Iraq Inquiry
638.  On 31 January, Mr Rycroft informed Mr Blair that, during a visit to Washington
from 30 to 31 January, he had explained that recent comments from Mr Kay, Dr Rice
and Secretary Powell had been damaging in the UK.351 He had also argued against an
intelligence inquiry, and for maximum transparency and co-ordination if the US decided
to go down that route. There was a strong chance that the US would do so, possibly
very fast.
639.  Mr Rycroft advised Mr Blair: “You need to raise with Bush at Monday’s [2 February]
video conference.”
640.  On 31 January, Sir David Manning reported growing political pressure on President
Bush to admit intelligence failure and announce an inquiry.352 Asked for his views on
whether there should be an inquiry, President Bush had told the press:
“… I too, want to know the facts. I want to be able to compare what the Iraq Survey
Group has found with what we thought prior to going into Iraq. One thing is for
certain – one thing we do know from Mr Kay’s testimony, as well as from the
years of intelligence that we had gathered, is that Saddam Hussein was a …
growing danger.”
641.  Sir David Manning advised that President Bush’s remarks suggested he was
leaving himself room to set up an inquiry.
642.  Mr Blair set out his position on Iraq and WMD in a Note sent to President
Bush on 1 February.
643.  Mr Blair recognised the need to learn lessons about the difficulties of
gathering intelligence and that there was a legitimate issue about its accuracy, but
at that stage envisaged asking the ISC to address the issue.
644.  On 1 February, Sir Nigel Sheinwald sent Dr Rice a Note “by the Prime Minister” on
Iraq and WMD, to be shown to President Bush before the video conference with Mr Blair
on 2 February.353
645.  The Note addressed two issues:
“Iraq and WMD”; and
“WMD as a threat more generally”.
351  Minute Rycroft to Prime Minister, 31 January 2004, ‘Visit to Washington’.
352  Telegram 1 Washington to Cabinet Office, 31 January 2004, ‘Intelligence on Iraq WMD: US views,
30 January’.
353  Letter Sheinwald to Rice, 1 February 2004, ‘Iraq and WMD’ attaching Note [Blair to Bush], ‘Note on
WMD’.
550
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