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The Report of the Iraq Inquiry
The declaration provided “limited, but new information on two UAV programmes”,
which Iraq claimed had “started after 1998”, that had been included in reports
recently passed to UNMOVIC. They would be “used as target drones”. The
JIC judged that the UAVs “would have a significantly better performance” than
claimed and could be “adapted to chemical and biological agent delivery”.
Conclusion
The JIC concluded that the declaration so far analysed failed to address the outstanding
issues from UNSCOM’s report to the Security Council in 1999 and “made no attempt to
answer any of the points outlined in the UK dossier”. Iraq might:
“… feel they dealt with these points in their previous rebuttal of the dossier. Some of
the deficiencies may be addressed in the parts yet to be translated, but this does not
look likely.”
152.  On 20 December, Mr Miller sent Sir David Manning a further DIS overview of
Iraq’s declaration.61
153.  Mr Miller re-stated the key findings outlined in the 18 December JIC Assessment
and identified the principal areas of apparent omission. The main new points
identified were:
“an admission by the Iraqis that they have delivered 50 Al Samoud missiles to
their military. The UK dossier stated that at least 50 of these missiles had been
produced and were being deployed to military units;
details of missile related procurement activities post-1998, which Iraq claims
were for permitted programmes. There are no details concerning the origin of
the material and equipment procured, some of which we judge were obtained
illicitly; and
the document fails to cover refurbishment at potential BW sites.”
154.  Mr Miller reported that the DIS would continue to analyse the declaration when a
full English text was available from the UN. That was likely to be after Christmas.
SECURITY COUNCIL, 19 DECEMBER 2002
155.  Dr Blix told the Security Council on 19 December that, while individual
governments had stated they had evidence which contradicted Iraq’s denial that
it had weapons of mass destruction, UNMOVIC was not yet in a position to give a
definitive view.
156.  Sir Jeremy Greenstock reported overnight on 17/18 December that Dr Blix would
tell the Security Council on 19 December that it could not have confidence that the
61  Minute Miller to Manning, 20 December 2002, ‘Iraq: WMD Declaration’.
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