The Report
of the Iraq Inquiry
634.
The JIC
Assessment of 9 September stated:
“Iraq has
probably dispersed its special weapons, including its CBW
weapons.
Intelligence
also indicates that chemical and biological munitions could be
with
military
units and ready for firing within 20-45 minutes.”347
635.
In response to
a series of questions intended to elicit whether the
“assessors”
should have
had regard to the fact that they did not know to which munitions
the report
referred,
where they were, and that the information was second-hand, albeit
relayed
through a
reliable intermediary, Mr Scarlett replied:
“You are
talking as if the assessors … operate in a vacuum. They do not.
They are
assessing
individual reports against the background of their knowledge. This
was
a point of
precision, to an assessment which already existed about the
capability
of the
Iraqi armed forces in this area.”348
636.
Mr Scarlett
subsequently stated: “The sentence in the [JIC] Assessment
was
referring
to the intelligence report … It was not looking at it in the wider
context.”
That was
“taken into account in the main body of the text” but the judgement
in
the
Executive Summary “was a different point”; it did “not just confine
itself to one
intelligence
report”.
637.
The Iraq
Inquiry wrote to Air Chief Marshal Sir Joe French, Mr Cragg,
and
Dr Roper asking
a number of specific questions about whether they had seen or
been
briefed on
the report of 11 September, and with whom they had discussed the
issues
that
arose.
638.
In his
statement, ACM French confirmed that he had seen the 11
September
report but
he “did not receive any further briefing on it”.349
He had not
discussed the
distribution
of the report with either Mr Cragg or Dr Roper and could not
“remember
receiving
any advice or briefing” on it from them. Nor could he “remember
detail of
the discussion”
at any JIC meeting.
639.
Asked whether
he had asked for the report to be made available to the
relevant
experts in
the DIS for their assessment, ACM French wrote:
“Given the
way the compilation of the dossier was being handled with
the
involvement
of the specialists/experts from across the intelligence
community,
including
the DIS, I would have expected them to [be] given the background
to
this
intelligence if not access to the report itself. This was a regular
occurrence
where
intelligence initially on limited distribution would be shared at
the experts
347
JIC
Assessment, 9 September 2002, ‘Iraqi Use of Chemical and Biological
Weapons –
Possible Scenarios’.
348
The
National Archives, 28 January 2004, Report of
the Inquiry into the Circumstances Surrounding the
Death of Dr
David Kelly [“The Hutton
Report”], paragraph 214.
349
Statement,
9 June 2011.
236