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The Report of the Iraq Inquiry
“I am in no doubt that the threat is serious, and current; and that he has made
progress on WMD and that he has to be stopped.”
515.  The draft concluded:
“The case I make is not that Saddam could launch a nuclear attack on London or
another part of the UK (He could not). The case I make is that the UN resolution[s]
demanding he stops his WMD programme are being flouted; that since the
inspectors left four years ago, he has continued with this programme; and the
inspectors must be allowed in to do their job properly.
“It is the minimum necessary to ensure that he does not get to use the weapons
he has, or get hold of the weapons he wants.”
516.  A draft was sent to Mr Powell and Sir David Manning on 17 September, asking
for comments as soon as possible before it was shown to Mr Blair or Mr Scarlett.258
517.  Mr Powell offered three comments on the Foreword:
“I think it is worth explicitly stating, as TB keeps saying, this is the advice to
him from the JIC. On the basis of this advice what other action could he as
PM take. Something like ‘I am today taking the exceptional step of publishing
the JIC’s advice to me because I want MPs and the British public to see the
advice on which I am acting. When you have read this I ask you to consider
what else a responsible PM could do than follow the course we have in the
face of the advice?’”
“We need to do more to back up the assertions. We cannot of course publish
the detailed raw intelligence on which this report is based without endangering
the lives of agents. But all the statements in this report are backed up by detailed
intelligence reports, the veracity and sources of which have been verified by
the intelligence agencies. Is there any independent verification we can cite?”
“In the penultimate para you need to make it clear Saddam could not attack
us at the moment. The thesis is he would be a threat to the UK in the future
if we do not check him.”259
518.  When Mr Campbell sent his and Mr Blair’s comments on the draft dossier
to Mr Scarlett on 17 September, he also asked Mr Scarlett for his views on the
draft Foreword.260
258  Email Blackshaw to Manning, 17 September 2002, ‘Iraq Dossier Foreword’. The draft was replaced 20
minutes later by a slightly amended version circulated with – Email Hatfield to Powell, 17 September 2002,
‘Revised Dossier Foreword’.
259  Email Powell to Campbell and Manning, 17 September 2002, ‘Re: Revised Dossier Foreword’.
260  Minute Campbell to Scarlett, 17 September 2002, [untitled].
210
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