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The Report of the Iraq Inquiry
appearing in the press about ‘inducements’ to secure votes only makes it harder for the
Africans to come on board”.
975.  The report was sent to Sir Michael Jay, Sir Jeremy Greenstock and Sir Richard
Dearlove. It was also widely circulated within No.10.
976.  Mr Rycroft commented to Mr Blair: “An effective visit, but the three votes are not
yet in the bag.”
The UK position, 5 and 6 March 2003
977.  Mr Blair was informed on the evening of 4 March that US military planners
were looking at 12 March as the possible start date for the military campaign;
and that Mr Hoon was concerned about the “apparent disconnect” with activity
in the UN.
978.  Mr Hoon’s Private Secretary informed Sir David Manning on the evening of
4 March that Adm Boyce had reported indications of growing pressure from US military
commanders, for force posture and other reasons, to take early military action: and that
12 March had emerged as a possible start date for the military campaign.301
979.  Mr Hoon was “concerned by the apparent disconnect between US military
planning and continuing diplomatic activity in the UN” and thought that Sir David “might
wish to ensure that Condi Rice is alive to the continuing need to keep the diplomatic and
military tracks aligned”.
980.  Sir Kevin Tebbit, the MOD Permanent Under Secretary, wrote to Sir Andrew
Turnbull, the Cabinet Secretary, on 5 March about the need for an agreed legal basis
for military action.302 That is addressed in Section 5.
981.  In Prime Minister’s Questions on 5 March, Mr Blair expressed confidence
in the prospects for securing a second resolution.
982.  In response to a question from Ms Lynne Jones (Labour) asking whether nine
affirmative votes would provide “clear” legal authority “for war”, Mr Blair responded that
the Government would “always act in accordance with international law” and that “we
are confident of securing the votes for that resolution and we will carry on working for
that end”. He added:
“… I know that we both agree the authority of the UN is important. If that authority
is to be upheld, it is important that what we said last November is implemented.
If it is not, the effect on the UN … would be disastrous.”303
301  Letter Watkins to Manning, 4 March 2003, ‘Iraq: Timing of Military Action’.
302  Letter Tebbit to Turnbull, 5 March 2003, [untitled].
303  House of Commons, Official Report, 5 March 2003, column 817.
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