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3.7  |  Development of UK strategy and options, 1 February to 7 March 2003
in dealing with Iraq, the greater the chance of resolving other crises, particularly
Israel/Palestine.
530.  In the discussion over dinner, Mr Blair said there were three issues at stake:
The authority of the UN. That was set out in resolution 1441 passed after
twelve years of Iraqi prevarication. The UN had made clear this was a final
opportunity requiring full compliance. In neither the December declaration nor
Dr Blix’s reports to the Security Council in January and February was there any
sign of full compliance on substance. If there were 100 percent Iraqi compliance,
the inspectors could take as long as they needed. But the inspectors were not
supposed to be a detective agency. Co-operation was key. If we were not careful
we would be back in the situation we were in in the nineties.
Iraq’s WMD. There was no intelligence agency of any member state which
did not know Iraq possessed these weapons. It was true that conflict meant
bloodshed. But it was not true that the absence of conflict meant the absence of
bloodshed. Thousands of Iraqis were dying under Saddam Hussein. Four million
were in exile. The rate of Iraqi infant mortality in areas outside Saddam’s control
was a quarter of that in areas under Baghdad’s rule.
EU/US relations. Iraq had to be resolved in a way which met the objective of
maintaining EU/US relations. That did not mean the EU had to do things simply
because the US wanted. The way Europe handled Iraq would have profound
implications for generations to come. The key was to ensure resolution 1441
was implemented. “The UN had to be the way of dealing with this issue, not
a way of avoiding it.”145
531.  The Council statement agreed at the dinner left the decision on inspectors’ time
and resources to the UN Security Council and made it clear that immediate action was
needed by Iraq.146 It was seen by the media as more robust than expected.
532.  The statement said that the European Council was “determined to deal effectively
with the threat of proliferation of weapons of mass destruction”; and that it was
“committed to the United Nations remaining at the centre of the international order”.
The European Council recognised that “the primary responsibility for dealing with Iraqi
disarmament lies with the Security Council”; and it pledged its “full support”. It wanted
to achieve disarmament peacefully, and that was what the people of Europe wanted:
“War is not inevitable. Force should only be used as a last resort. It is for the Iraqi regime
to end this crisis …”
145  Telegram 179 UKREP Brussels to FCO London, 18 February 2003, ‘Iraq: Special European Council,
17 February: Dinner Discussion’.
146  Council of the European Union, 21 February 2003, Extraordinary European Council Brussels,
17 February 2003.
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