The Report
of the Iraq Inquiry
117.
Dr Blix
and Dr ElBaradei met Mr Blair and Mr Straw on 6
February, before a visit
to Baghdad
on 8 to 9 February.29
118.
The FCO
briefing note stated that:
“Since the
Prime Minister last saw Blix on 17 January, he has hardly put a
foot
wrong. His
statement to the UN Security Council (UNSC) on 27 January
was
stronger
than many expected: in particular he helpfully made clear that Iraq
was
not
offering the full and active co-operation that the UNSC expected,
and there
were
serious unanswered questions, and that Iraq still did not accept
that it had
119.
In the meeting
with Mr Blair, Dr Blix registered a number of questions
about
Secretary
Powell’s briefing to the Security Council the previous
day.31
He also
said
that intelligence
leads had so far produced only one success.
120.
The record of
the meeting stated that Dr Blix:
“… would
seek to resolve three relatively minor points related to
process:
U2 overflights,
interviews, and Iraqi domestic legislation. His approach would
be
that the
Iraqis had better come up with co-operation on substance … If
Saddam
decided to
be as helpful on substance as he was on process,
fine.”
121.
Mr Blair
doubted that Saddam Hussein would co-operate:
“He would
try some trick to divide the Security Council. Retaining his WMD
was
essential
to his own view of his grip on Iraq.”
122.
Dr Blix
reminded Mr Blair that: “UNSCOM had not reported that the
1999
left-overs
were present in Iraq, just that they were unaccounted for.” UNMOVIC
was
more
cautious than the UK, but Dr Blix agreed that if Iraq did not
have documents it
should be
more eager to allow interviews to go ahead. There was a stalemate
on the
issue. The
inspectors might have to ask for interviews without minders, but
Dr Blix was
uneasy
about risking people’s lives.
123.
Dr Blix
was reported to have informed Mr Blair that his report to the
Security
Council on
14 February would probably contain a “balance sheet”. His last
assessment
had been
“honest but harsh”; the next might have to say that the inspectors
“had not
found any
WMD”.
29
Letter
Rycroft to Owen, 6 February 2003, ‘Iraq: Prime Minister’s Meetings
with Blix and El-Baradei,
6 February’.
30
Minute Owen
to Rycroft, 5 February 2003, ‘The Prime Minister’s Meeting with
Hans Blix, UNMOVIC,
and Mohamed
El-Baradei, IAEA’.
31
Letter
Rycroft to Owen, 6 February 2003, ‘Iraq: Prime Minister’s Meetings
with Blix and ElBaradei,
6 February’.
200