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3.5  |  Development of UK strategy and options, September to November 2002 –
the negotiation of resolution 1441
184.  On the question “Why now?’”, Mr Blair stated:
“I agree I cannot say that this month or next, even this year or next, Saddam will
use his weapons. But I can say that if the international community, having made
the call for his disarmament, now, at this moment, at the point of decision, shrugs
its shoulders and walks away, he will draw the conclusion dictators faced with a
weakening will always draw: that the international community will talk but not act,
will use diplomacy but not force. We know, again from our history, that diplomacy
not backed by the threat of force has never worked with dictators and never will.
“If we take this course and if we refuse to implement the will of the international
community, Saddam will carry on, his efforts will intensify, his confidence will grow
and, at some point in the future not too distant, the threat will turn into reality. The
threat therefore is not imagined. The history of Saddam and weapons of mass
destruction is not American or British propaganda. The history and the present
threat are real.”
185.  Mr Blair said that Britain should care:
“Because there is no way this man, in this region … could begin a conflict using
such weapons and the consequences not engulf the whole world, including this
country. That … is the reason the UN passed its resolutions. That is why it is right
that the UN Security Council again makes its will and its unity clear and lays down
a strong new UN resolution and mandate. Then Saddam will have the choice:
comply willingly or be forced to comply. That is why alongside the diplomacy, there
must be genuine preparedness and planning to take action if diplomacy fails.
“Let me be plain about our purpose. Of course there is no doubt that Iraq, the region
and the whole world would be better off without Saddam. Iraq deserves to be led by
someone who can abide by international law, not a murderous dictator; by someone
who can bring Iraq back into the international community where it belongs, not …
languishing as a pariah; by someone who can make the country rich and successful,
not impoverished by Saddam’s personal greed; and by someone who can lead
a government more representative of the country as a whole while maintaining
absolutely Iraq’s territorial integrity.
“We have no quarrel with the Iraqi people. Indeed, liberated from Saddam they
could make Iraq prosperous and a force for good in the Middle East. So the ending
of this regime would be the cause of regret for no one other than Saddam. But
our purpose is disarmament. No one wants military conflict. The whole purpose
of putting this before the UN is to demonstrate the united determination of the
international community to resolve this in the way it should have been resolved
years ago: through a proper process of disarmament under the UN. Disarmament
of all weapons of mass destruction is the demand. One way or another it must
be acceded to.”
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