The Report
of the Iraq Inquiry
349.
Dr Blix
told Mr Blair that Iraq had two “fears”:
•
Once the
inspectors returned there would be a “a stand‑off over access
which
the US
would take as a casus belli”.
•
UNMOVIC
would “inherit UNSCOM’s leakiness” which had
“discredited
UNSCOM”.
350.
Dr Blix
said that he would support stronger inspections if that was the
decision
of the
Security Council. Whatever arrangements were agreed, there would be
limits
to what
inspections could achieve: “For instance, it would be very hard to
catch Iraq’s
mobile
installations.”
351.
Dr Blix
also warned Mr Blair that UNMOVIC would need a couple of
months to
prepare and
60 days thereafter for “rebaselining”: “So it would be nearly four
months
before the
inspectors could present the issues to the UNSC.”
352.
President
Putin told Mr Blair that he had great doubts about the
legality of
the use of
military force, but was prepared to work to achieve a UN
resolution
which would
convince Iraq to readmit inspectors on terms which had been
agreed
in the
Security Council.
353.
In a telephone
conversation on 6 September, President Putin stated that
he
thought the
Russian and UK approaches were “very close”:
•
both were
insisting on the return of inspectors in accordance with UN
Security
Council
resolutions;
•
Foreign
Ministers were working with a close understanding; and
•
we had to
be 100 percent sure that Iraq would never produce
354.
Russia had
been working with Iraq to ensure that it understood, and the
Iraqi
Foreign
Minister had confirmed in Moscow earlier that week that it was
prepared to
discuss the
return of “UN structures”. Iraq was prepared to allow UN inspectors
and
monitoring
to return; we had to ensure that was on our conditions. Russia had
to be
involved in
developing those conditions or it would not be possible for it to
subscribe to
those
“rules”. Mr Blair agreed.
355.
President
Putin told Mr Blair that Russia had great doubts about the
legality of the
use of
military force and all diplomatic means were far from exhausted:
“But he thought
it would be
possible for the UN Security Council to come up with a common
position, to
ensure that
the Iraqis saw that they had no way out.”
111
Letter
Rycroft to Sedwill, 6 September 2002, ‘Iraq: Prime Minister’s
Telephone Call with President Putin,
6
September’.
156