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3.3  |  Development of UK strategy and options, April to July 2002
to go this route if he thinks it is the key to your active support. If he does, it will transform
the domestic and wider international context.”
478.  Sir David recorded the conversations with both Dr Rice and President Bush in full.
479.  Sir David discussed the record of his conversation with President Bush with
Mr Blair at Chequers on 31 July. He told the Inquiry:
“… I saw the Prime Minister … at Chequers, and I said to him that I did not think
a return to the UN route was a lost cause and it was worth his while to continue
to press the President to go down the UN route. Provisionally an agreement was
reached … for the Prime Minister to go and see the President as soon as the
summer holidays were over, and this is what indeed he did.”188
480.  Sir David Manning told the Inquiry that he felt his meetings with Dr Rice and
President Bush in Washington at the end of July, when he delivered Mr Blair’s
Note, had reopened a debate in the US that might have been closed.
481.  Sir David Manning told the Inquiry:
“… I was quite clear, when I was sent to Washington at the end of July to talk about
the state of the debate in America, that … the United States could take military
action if it wished to, but we could not do so unless the United States decided to go
back to the United Nations.”189
482.  Subsequently, Sir David Manning told the Inquiry that he had thought “at the end
of July” that “[President] Bush had probably made up his mind he was just going to go
and attack Iraq at some point over the next few months … and that he had probably
subscribed … to the view that the UN was a distraction”.190 President Bush had asked to
see him because of the point he had made to Dr Rice that the UK could not participate
without going back to the UN. While he was “wary about making this claim”, he had
returned from Washington “feeling that it had reopened a debate that might have been
pretty much closed”.
483.  Sir David drew attention to the emphasis he had put on the need for a new
UN resolution in his discussions.
484.  Sir David stated:
“It was quite clear to me in the summer of 2002 that the only way we could
accompany the Americans in a shift in policy that might conceivably lead to regime
change was if they opted to go through the United Nations and if there were a new
Security Council resolution …
188  Public hearing, 30 November 2009, pages 22-23.
189  Public hearing, 30 November 2009, pages 40-41.
190  Private hearing, 24 June 2010, pages 55-56.
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