The Report
of the Iraq Inquiry
phase of
the war on terrorism.114
He
emphasised the US support for the discussion in
the Security
Council on more effective and narrowly defined
sanctions.
219.
Following
discussions with senior US Senators, primarily about
developments
in Afghanistan,
the British Embassy Washington reported on 29 November
that
Mr John
Prescott, the Deputy Prime Minister, had been told there was “an
overwhelming
majority
(80 votes) in the Senate in favour of taking out Saddam Hussein, as
a piece
of unfinished
business”.115
220.
One Senator
suggested that the military had a “very detailed plan”, which
he
described
as constituting precision bombing and Special Forces’ support for
internal
uprisings.
He “believed they had the capacity to decapitate Saddam
Hussein.
Preparations
were well beyond the discussions stage.”
221.
The Senator
also suggested that the decision to attack the Taliban in
Afghanistan
was “a
feint: he [President Bush] had been offered the choice between
Afghanistan and
Iraq and
had chosen to do the former first”.
222.
Another
Senator had set out a strategy of “increased heat”: with
strengthened
sanctions,
the re-introduction of inspectors, and compiling evidence followed
by military
action.
That Senator had said that if the UK could not agree with this it
should be
weighing in
now with the Administration. It would be much more difficult for
the US to go
it alone
than with the European allies in support. Other countries linked to
international
terrorism
were not threats of the same order as Iraq.
223.
The Embassy
commented that the discussions offered “an interesting insight
into
the mood on
the Hill”. There was “no reason to believe” that either Senator
spoke for the
Administration
or had privileged access to Pentagon plans; the military details
did “not
square with
what we understand of military thinking”.
224.
On 1 December,
the British Embassy Washington reported that public
speculation
about
action against Iraq was moving faster than Administration thinking;
and that the
momentum in
the debate had shifted in the direction of the
hawks.116
A
Washington
Post
poll of 27
November had found that 78 percent of Americans favoured “having US
forces
take
military action against Iraq to force Saddam Hussein from
power”.
225.
The Embassy
reported that, in addition, two new elements had emerged
in
comments
from the Administration: an increased stress on the need for arms
inspectors;
and a
clearer identification of WMD with the terrorist threat. The
increased emphasis
on weapons
inspectors had been seen by some as a step towards military action
–
“a Taliban-like
deadline”; others might see it as an alternative to unilateral
action.
114
The White
House, 27 November 2001, Press
Briefing.
115
Telegram
1616 Washington to FCO London, 29 November 2001, ‘Deputy Prime
Minister’s visit to
Washington:
Afghanistan and Iraq’.
116
Telegram
1631 Washington to FCO London, 1 December 2001, ‘The Wider War
against Terrorism:
Iraq’.
350