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17  |  Civilian casualties
the dead and injured, it was not possible to know whether the UK was meeting its
obligations under international humanitarian law to protect the civilian population in
Iraq. It urged the Government to commission a comprehensive, independent inquiry to
determine how many Iraqi citizens had died or been injured since March 2003, and the
cause of those casualties.
183.  The campaign also argued that information on casualties was needed to plan
healthcare in Iraq.119
184.  At Prime Minister’s Questions on the same day, Mr Blair said that he did not agree
that the UK needed to hold a full, independent inquiry into civilian casualties to comply
with its international legal obligations, and stated that the figures from the Iraqi MOH
were the most accurate available.120 He continued:
“… those who are killing innocent people in Iraq today … are the terrorists and
insurgents … Any action that the multinational force or the Iraqi Army is taking in Iraq
is intended to defeat those people …”
185.  The IPU provided the Cabinet Office with a contribution to the Cabinet Office
trial on 13 December.121 The IPU analysis captured casualty figures for the five weeks
from 1 November, sourced from the Iraqi MOH, the BBC, IBC, the Iraq Coalition
Casualty Count project and Sky News. The casualty figures were broken down into two
categories: killed by insurgents; and killed by coalition forces.
186.  The total casualty figures produced by the Iraqi MOH were the highest among the
five sources in four of the five weeks.
187.  The figures produced by the Iraqi MOH showed that casualties caused by the
coalition were higher than casualties caused by insurgents in four of the five weeks.
Figures from all other sources showed that casualties caused by insurgents were higher
than casualties caused by the coalition in all five weeks.
188.  The IPU commented that, apart from the Iraqi MOH, the sources were “of no real
value”. The comparison of the figures did suggest, however, that the Iraqi MOH figures
were incomplete. This could be due to delayed reporting of deaths at hospitals or bodies
not being taken to hospitals. The Iraqi MOH had reported that its figures did not include
the Kurdish provinces.
189.  The IPU also commented that the analysis would not answer the demands from
MPs and others that the UK should produce its own estimate of Iraqi civilian casualties.
The only way a proper comparative analysis of the Iraqi MOH figures could be made
was to set them alongside figures produced by the US and UK military.
119  Count the Casualties, 8 December 2004, 46 prominent figures call on Prime Minister to commission
independent inquiry into Iraqi casualties.
120  House of Commons, Official Report, 8 December 2004, column 1164.
121  Letter IPU [junior official] to Cabinet Office [junior official], 13 December 2004, ‘Iraq: Civilian Casualties’.
203
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