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The Report of the Iraq Inquiry
“The Attorney reiterates that such a legal basis for the existence of the Zones cannot
justify military action for other, ulterior motives such as action to punish Saddam
Hussein, or to enforce other UK or US objectives such as the maintenance of the
security of neighbouring states.
“The Attorney also emphasises that it is vitally important to keep constantly in view
the precarious nature of the legal basis for UK and US action in the No-Fly Zones.
It was not yet generally accepted that there is a right in international law to prevent
or avert a humanitarian catastrophe … there is a considerable body of legal
opinion which holds that such a right was not at present clearly established in
international law.”
166.  Mr Brummell stated that Lord Williams “would be grateful for a further update of the
situation in the north and south of Iraq, consideration of alternatives to the maintenance
of the Zones, and information on any civilian casualties associated with UK and US
operations in relation to the Zones”, by the end of May 2001.
167.  Mr Sawers showed Mr Brummell’s letter to Mr Blair, and in a handwritten note
which accompanied it he wrote:
“The Attorney has finally backed down, at least for now … But it is going to be
difficult to sustain at least the southern NFZ for much longer – it scarcely meets
the criteria.”93
168.  UK and US attacks on targets north of the southern NFZ took place on
16 February. The effect of the attacks is considered later in this Section.
Mr Blair’s meeting with President Bush, 23 February 2001
169.  On 9 February, the JIC assessed that Iraq was covertly working on long-range
missile systems, but would be unable to achieve an operational capability while
sanctions remained effective (see Section 4.1).94
Cabinet Office advice
170.  Following Mr Cook’s visit to the US in early February 2001, Mr Sawers wrote to
Mr Emyr Jones Parry, FCO Political Director, emphasising the need to have:
“… an agreed HMG [Her Majesty’s Government] approach, approved by the Prime
Minister before we go too far down the road of UK/US consultations … we need to
have a clear sense of what we want if we are to shape US thinking.”95
171.  There appeared to be three important issues “on which to clear our minds”:
The objective of the policy. Mr Jones Parry’s recent talks in Washington had
identified “Saddam and weapons of mass destruction as the main issues …
93  Note (handwritten) Sawers to Prime Minister, [undated], ‘Iraq: NFZ’.
94  JIC Assessment, 9 February 2001, ‘Long Range Ballistic Missile Threat’.
95  Letter Sawers to Jones Parry, 8 February 2001, ‘Iraq: UK/US Talks’.
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