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12.1  |  Security Sector Reform
1128.  Mr Asquith told the Inquiry:
“Personally, I was sceptical that the surge would be effective and was unsure
whether the real objective of agreeing the local cease‑fires with some of the Sunni
Arab areas’ tribal leaders was designed to minimise the casualties of US forces or
was really designed to build them into the political process. My suspicions were
that the first objective … was probably a more important one in the minds of the
military planners, and I was sceptical that they would be successful in persuading,
particularly the Sunni Arab tribal leaders, to be loyal to a Shia‑led government in
Baghdad.
“I think in retrospect I was wrong and I think the surge did produce what General
Petraeus was seeking to achieve by it, not just to create the sort of breathing space
for some politics to work, but that it did, more sustainably than I assumed, quieten
those areas which were extremely violent.”1063
Iraqi border police progress
The DoD reported on 2 March 2007 that MNSTC‑I had trained 28,400 Department of
Border Enforcement (DBE) and Port of Entry (POE) personnel and that the DBE was
supported by 28 Coalition Border Transition Teams.1064
Later in the year a joint DBE and MNSTC‑I five‑year plan was developed to bring the total
number of constructed border forts and annexes to 7231065 and to increase the personnel
requirement to 46,000.1066
On 6 September, the Independent Commission on the Security Forces in Iraq reported to
Congress its conclusion that:
“Iraq’s border security forces are generally ineffective and need more equipment,
training, and infrastructure before they can play a significant role in securing Iraq’s
borders. The Department of Border Enforcement suffers from poor support from
the Ministry of Interior. Overall border security is undermined by the division of
responsibilities between the Ministry of Interior and the Ministry of Transportation.
Corruption and external infiltration of the border security forces are widespread, and
the borders are porous.”1067
On 18 December 2008, the JIC assessed that the DBE “suffer from departmental
underinvestment and corruption” and “are unable to protect Iraq’s borders”.1068
By August 2010, the DBE had 40,000 personnel and operated out of 657 forts and
annexes.1069 It was estimated that over 60,000 personnel would be required to staff the
planned number of forts.
1063  Public hearing, 4 December 2009, page 30.
1064  Report to Congress, 2 March 2007, Measuring Stability and Security in Iraq.
1065  Report, 6 September 2007, ‘Independent Commission on the Security Forces in Iraq’.
1066  Report to Congress, 7 March 2008, Measuring Stability and Security in Iraq.
1067  Report, 6 September 2007, ‘Independent Commission on the Security Forces in Iraq’.
1068  JIC Assessment, 18 December 2008, ‘Iraqi Security Forces: Mixed Abilities’.
1069  Report to Congress, 20 August 2010, Measuring Stability and Security in Iraq.
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