10.3 |
Reconstruction: oil, commercial interests, debt relief, asylum and
stabilisation policy
422.
Mr Chaplin
made an introductory call on Mr Ghadban on 30
August.244
He
reported
that
Mr Ghadban’s main priority was maintaining and repairing
Iraq’s oil infrastructure.
Attacks
were taking place almost daily. Production was around 2.5m bpd; the
IIG aimed
to produce
3.25m bpd by the end of 2005.
423.
Mr Chaplin
reported that Mr Ghadban advocated a gradual and careful
reduction
in fuel
subsidies (although the IIG as a whole remained reluctant), and the
privatisation
of the
distribution system. Mr Chaplin had “encouraged” those
views.
424.
Mr Ghadban
stated that encouraging investment was key, for example
through
internationally
accepted models for production-sharing agreements (PSAs) or
joint
ventures.
He did not favour privatising upstream245
activities.
425.
The IPU
circulated a first draft of a UK Energy Strategy for Iraq on 18
August.246
426.
A junior
official at the British Embassy Baghdad commented on the draft
on
25 August,
highlighting the need to be realistic about what the IIG could
deliver in the
period
before the January 2005 elections:
“While
Ghadban and others may have every intention of looking longer term
and
plotting a
strategy for the industry, the day-to-day running of the
network/fire-fighting
is taking
up the bulk of everyone’s energies just now – and is likely to
continue doing
so. The IIG
is desperate to show improvements in the supply of electricity and
fuel
as soon as
possible. That means focusing efforts on ensuring that oil
continues to
flow to the
power stations and refineries, and stocks are built
up.”247
427.
The IPU
circulated a final version of the UK Energy Strategy for Iraq
on
6 September.248
The
Strategy identified two UK objectives:
“•
the
development of an efficient, outward looking and transparent oil
and energy
industry,
capable of delivering both sustainable export revenues to meet
Iraq’s
development
needs and meeting domestic needs for energy in an
efficient,
equitable
and secure manner; and
•
Iraq’s
energy sector development to be complemented by the
increasing
involvement
of UK firms, leading to sustained investment over the next five
to
10 years
and substantial business for the UK.”
428.
The Strategy
stated that the IIG had established a Supreme Council for Oil
and
Gas, which
the UK believed would approve strategy and major investments. The
IIG was
244
Telegram
167 Baghdad to FCO London, 31 August 2004, ‘Iraq: Introductory Call
on Thamir Ghadban,
Minister of
Oil’.
245
Upstream
activities are generally understood to be exploration and
extraction.
246
Email IPU
[junior official] to FCO [junior official], 18 August 2004, ‘UK
Energy Strategy for Iraq’ attaching
Paper IPU,
[undated], ‘Iraq-UK Energy Strategy for Iraq’.
247
Email FCO
[junior official] to IPU [junior official], 25 August 2004, ‘UK
Energy Strategy for Iraq –
Comment’.
248
Email IPU
[junior official] to FCO [junior official], 6 September 2004,
‘Energy Strategy for Iraq’.
437