The Report
of the Iraq Inquiry
1363.
The potential
consequences of Iraq’s poor infrastructure for
post-conflict
operations
were identified in the 4 September edition of the SPG paper on
military
strategic
thinking, which stated:
“Given
fractious nature of Iraqi politics, broad regional concern on
nature of
new Iraqi
government, and poor state of Iraqi infrastructure, delivery of
stated
post-conflict
objectives will require lengthy engagement.”591
1364.
The 30
September edition of the SPG paper stated that Iraqi infrastructure
was
“poorly
maintained by the current regime with damage from the war of 1991
still not
1365.
The FCO paper
‘Models for Administering a Post-Saddam Iraq’, presented to
the
AHGI on 11
October, stated that administering Iraq would involve restoration
of critical
1366.
The Cabinet
Office paper on models for Iraq after Saddam Hussein, sent
to
Sir David
Manning on 1 November, listed priorities facing the transitional
military
government
to be established by the Coalition after the collapse of the Iraqi
regime.594
Those
included emergency work on infrastructure involving close
co-ordination with
civilian
development agencies.
1367.
The
implications of the fragile state of Iraq’s infrastructure for the
Iraqi
people and
for achieving post-conflict objectives were clearly stated in
an
FCO paper
for the AHGI in November 2002 and by Ms Short in Parliament
on
30 January
2003.
1368.
The FCO paper
on economic issues in Iraq, sent to AHGI members on
4 November
2002, described Iraq’s economy as “distorted and very badly
damaged”.595
The FCO
stated:
“Even if a
new conflict produces little additional damage, the combination of
neglect
and war
damage means that large investments in many areas and spread
over
many years,
are needed if infrastructure and services are to recover even to
their
pre-1990
condition. Getting this process under way will be essential to
economic
revival, to
the alleviation of humanitarian problems and to popular support for
a new
administration.”
591
Paper
[SPG], 4 September 2002, ‘UK Military Strategic Thinking on
Iraq’.
592
Paper
[SPG], 30 September 2002, ‘UK Military Strategic Thinking on
Iraq’.
593
Paper FCO,
[undated, version received at AHGI, 11 October 2002], ‘Models for
Administering
a Post‑Saddam
Iraq’.
594
Minute
Drummond to Manning, 1 November 2002, ‘Iraq: Post-Saddam’ attaching
Paper ‘Iraq: Models
and some
questions for post-Saddam government’.
595
Paper FCO,
[undated], ‘Economic issues in Iraq after post-Saddam regime
change: internal policy and
external
engagement’.
552