6.5 |
Planning and preparation for a post-Saddam Hussein Iraq, January to
March 2003
with
post-conflict situations, a unique legitimacy in doing so and that
was our
1333.
Sir Peter
added that the FCO was:
“… very
doubtful indeed about the neo-con assumption that international
forces would
be welcomed
as liberators and … that somehow very quickly Iraqi political life
would
resume and
the occupying forces would not carry these responsibilities … We
warned
Ministers
that this would be a long period of post-conflict work for the
international
community,
which is why we then said that we thought it was important that,
if
possible,
the UN should take on the lead.”569
1334.
Mr Chilcott
commented that, in the IPU:
“… because
it was contingency planning, because right up until the last
moment
we didn’t
know for sure that we were going to be involved in the military
action, that
maybe
psychologically had an effect on us …”570
1335.
Witnesses
commented on the responsibilities and priorities of
different
departments.
1336.
Ms Short
stated that DFID “got down to planning against all eventualities
within
the
difficult atmosphere we had in Whitehall about
communications”.571
The
principal
planning
failure had been the UK and US military’s failure to plan for
“catastrophic
success”.572
Rapid
military success followed by ethnic conflict had been
foreseen
as a risk,
but the military “didn’t prepare for their Geneva Convention
obligations” of
keeping
order and providing basic humanitarian relief.573
1337.
Sir Suma
Chakrabarti saw the FCO as the natural lead department
for
post-conflict
issues.574
He
commented that the FCO was “more focused on the
second resolution
than planning for the day after … There was a vision for Iraq
that
I think
the Foreign Office put together … So there was thinking going on,
but, yes,
second
resolution was the main issue in their minds, no
doubt.”
1338.
Lord Jay told
the Inquiry that “the FCO and DFID were not on the same
page
in the
lead-up to the war … because … there were differences between our
Ministers
on the
desirability and the likelihood of war … What we were faced with …
was not
something
which DFID had been geared up to do or Clare Short found
comfortable.”575
568
Public
hearing, 1 December 2009, page 30.
569
Public
hearing, 1 December 2009, page 65.
570
Public
hearing, 8 December 2009, pages 47-48.
571
Public
hearing, 2 February 2010, page 48.
572
Public
hearing, 2 February 2010, page 46.
573
Public
hearing, 2 February 2010, page 47.
574
Public
hearing, 8 December 2009, page 55.
575
Public
hearing, 30 June 2010, page 72.
547