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The Report of the Iraq Inquiry
Europe but a major regional crisis involving our national interest, perhaps on NATO’s
periphery or in the Gulf.”
10.  The SDR acknowledged that “major equipments take years to develop”.
11.  While the SDR identified no definitive timescales for its proposed changes, the MOD
did publish a series of targets in December 1998 as part of its Public Service Agreement
for 1999 to 2002.4 Targets included achieving a “Full Joint Rapid Reaction Forces
Capability by October 2001” and to “achieve reductions in book value of stocks of non-
munitions of £2.2bn by April 2001”.
12.  The Public Service Agreement recognised that the plans set out in the SDR
would “require substantial investment to improve inherited areas of weakness
measured against future operational needs and to fund a continuing major equipment
modernisation programme”. The resources necessary to achieve this would be found
“from making savings from rationalisation in other areas, a continuing programme of
efficiency improvements and smarter procurement”.
13.  Decisions on the allocation of resources to the MOD, and within the MOD,
were underpinned by a set of Defence Planning Assumptions (DPAs) about the
totality of the commitments that the MOD would expect to meet and sustain at any
one time and the time needed to prepare for operations.
14.  The ability of the UK to deploy and sustain forces on operations was determined by
the size of the Armed Forces and the readiness of units within the force structure. That
is still the case today.
15.  Decisions on those issues and the allocation of resources to and within the MOD
were based on the DPAs. DPAs were developed by the MOD to convert policy into
detailed guidance that could be used by military planners.5 The DPAs outlined the levels
of activity the Armed Forces were expected to be able to undertake, and the contexts in
which they were expected to operate. They were (and are) used to identify and resource
the planned force structure, capabilities and equipment of the Armed Forces.
16.  The SDR “set some broad benchmarks for the scale of our planning” and said that
the UK should be able to:
“ – respond to a major international crisis which might require a military effort and
combat operations of a similar scale and duration to the Gulf War when we deployed
an armoured division, 26 major warships and over 80 combat aircraft.
or
4  Public Services for the Future: Modernisation, Reform, Accountability, December 1998, Cm 4181.
5  Ministry of Defence, Strategic Defence Review, July 1998.
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