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5  |  Advice on the legal basis for military action, November 2002 to March 2003
explicit in its terms” if it established that the Council had “concluded” that Iraq had “failed
to take the final opportunity offered by resolution 1441”.
555.  Lord Goldsmith added:
“Nevertheless, having regard to the information on the negotiating history which
I have been given and to the arguments of the US Administration which I heard in
Washington, I accept that a reasonable case can be made that resolution 1441 is
capable in principle of reviving the authorisation in 678 without a further resolution.”
556.  Lord Goldsmith added that that would:
“… only be sustainable if there are strong factual grounds for concluding that Iraq
has failed to take the final opportunity. In other words, we would need to be able
to demonstrate hard evidence of non-compliance and non-co-operation. Given the
structure of the resolution as a whole, the views of UNMOVIC and the IAEA will be
highly significant in this respect. In the light of the latest reporting by UNMOVIC,
you will need to consider extremely carefully whether the evidence … is sufficiently
compelling to justify the conclusion that Iraq has failed to take the final opportunity.”
557.  Lord Goldsmith wrote:
“In reaching my conclusions, I have taken account of the fact that on a number of
previous occasions, including in relation to Operation Desert Fox in December 1998
and Kosovo in 1999, UK forces have participated in military action on the basis of
advice from my predecessors that the legality of the action under international law
was no more than reasonably arguable.
“But a ‘reasonable case’ does not mean that if the matter ever came before a court
I would be confident that the court would agree with this view. I judge that, having
regard to the arguments on both sides, and considering the resolution as a whole in
the light of the statements made on adoption and subsequently, a court might well
conclude that OPs 4 and 12 do require a further Council decision in order to revive
the authorisation in resolution 678. But equally I consider that the counter view can
reasonably be maintained.
“However, it must be recognised that on previous occasions when military action
was taken on the basis of a reasonably arguable case, the degree of public and
Parliamentary scrutiny of the legal issue was nothing like as great as it is today.”
558.  Lord Goldsmith’s advice of 7 March did not present the “reasonable case”
as stronger or “better” than the opposing case.
559.  Nevertheless, in making that judgement, Lord Goldsmith took responsibility
for a decision that a reasonable case was sufficient to provide the legal basis for
the UK Government to take military action in Iraq.
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