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The Report of the Iraq Inquiry
“The new material so far found” did “not alter UK assessments of Iraq’s
WMD programmes”.
The declaration made “no attempt to deal with the points made in the
UK dossier”.
151.  The key elements of the Assessment are set out in the Box below.
JIC Assessment, 18 December 2002:
‘An Initial Assessment of Iraq’s WMD Declaration’
The Assessment rehearsed the UK’s knowledge of Iraq’s production of WMD before 1991
and the material which UNSCOM had been “unable to account for”, and the judgements in
the September dossier.
Intelligence on the declaration
“Intelligence indicated in early November that Iraq was considering a number of options
… including a possible admission of a small proportion of its illegal activity. But by late
November intelligence indicated that Iraq’s declaration would omit references to its
banned weapons and that the aim was to overload UNMOVIC with information.” A senior
Iraqi official was quoted as saying “the declaration would be general and lacking in detail
and had been padded out with various scientific reports and studies”.
Overview
The declaration was “largely based on material already presented to the UN in previous
FFCDs [Full, Final, and Complete Declarations] and other correspondence”. “No
serious attempt” had “apparently been made to answer any of the unresolved questions
highlighted by UNSCOM or to refute any of the points made in the UK dossier”.
Iraq continued to “claim that it has not conducted any illicit WMD or ballistic missile
programmes since 1991”. “Little new material … on the nuclear, chemical or biological
weapons” had been found; there was “some new material” on missiles.
Chemical weapons
The declaration was based on a June 1996 FFCD and additional information provided to
the UN before 1998. Some of that information had not been seen previously by the UK.
As well as the “unaccounted for” quantities of agent, precursors and munitions which
UNSCOM had identified, the declaration did not:
“provide a key document detailing the consumption of special munitions in the
1980s” which had been “removed from UNSCOM by the Iraqis”;60
“substantiate Iraq’s denials … that attempts were made to manufacture and
weaponise VX”.
The list of “over 30 sites in which chemical activity” took place was “incomplete”.
60 A document found by an UNSCOM inspector in a safe in Iraqi Air Force headquarters in 1998.
It gave an account of the expenditure of bombs, including chemical bombs, by Iraq in the Iraq/Iran
war. It indicated that 13,000 chemical bombs were dropped by the Iraqi Air Force between 1983 and
1988. Iraq had claimed that 19,500 bombs were consumed during that period. Iraq had taken the
document from the inspector.
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