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4.2  |  Iraq WMD assessments, July to September 2002
community”.51 The “Iraqi regime has in fact been very busy enhancing its capabilities
in the field of chemical and biological weapons” and that “we now know that Saddam
has resumed his efforts to acquire nuclear weapons … Many of us are convinced that
Saddam will acquire nuclear weapons fairly soon.”
115.  Vice President Cheney added that there was “no doubt” that Saddam Hussein
had weapons of mass destruction and was “amassing them to use against our friends,
against our allies, and against us”.
116.  In a telephone call on 29 August, Mr Blair and President Bush discussed Iraq,
including the need to make clear that Iraq was the UN’s problem and that the issue was
total disarmament of Iraq’s WMD and associated systems not just the reintroduction of
inspectors.52 Mr Blair:
“… wanted the UN to meet that challenge, but if it could not we would have to act.
So we should remake the case, put together the evidence against Saddam, and
work up a UNSCR [UN Security Council resolution] …”
117.  When Mr Blair returned to No.10 after his holiday, he set out his concerns
about the public debate, and that he and President Bush had been “outed” as
having decided on military action when no decisions had been taken.
118.  As part of a wider note to No.10 officials on 30 August about the strategy on Iraq,
Mr Blair set out his position:
“I don’t need any convincing as to where we are on this. The state of opinion, the
difficulties. The problems are compounded by the fact that [President] Bush and
myself have been ‘outed’ as having decided for war, come what may, when actually
no decisions have been taken. So the arguments are all being made against any
action, when we are not yet in a position to make the arguments for it. But all this
can be turned round in time, with the right strategy.
“My basic view on Iraq is clear and hard. The policy of containment … has worked
up to a point, but can’t continue indefinitely; there is no doubt that, uncontained,
Iraq is a threat; they are trying to acquire nuclear weapons capability; they are
developing ballistic missile capability for biological and chemical weapons of a
longer-range; they retain substantial WMD stocks …
“Opinion against action divides into two: those always opposed and the usual
anti-American lobby; and those, a large number, who ask entirely sensible
questions, but who might support action if the questions were answered.”53
51  The White House, 26 August 2002, Vice President Speaks at VFW [Veterans of Foreign Wars]
103rd National Convention.
52  Letter Rycroft to McDonald, 29 August 2002, ‘Iraq: Prime Minister’s Phone Call with President Bush,
29 August’.
53  Note Blair [to No.10 officials], 30 August 2002, [extract ‘Iraq’].
135
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