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3.8  |  Development of UK strategy and options, 8 to 20 March 2003
of those were “a short time away from having a serviceable nuclear weapon”,
and that activity was increasing, not diminishing; and
the possibility of terrorist groups obtaining and using weapons of mass
destruction, including a “radiological bomb”.
918.  Mr Blair stated that tyrannical regimes with weapons of mass destruction and
terrorist groups had very different motives and different origins and he accepted “fully”
that the association between the two was:
“… loose – but it is hardening. The possibility of the two coming together – of
terrorist groups in possession of weapons of mass destruction or even of a so-called
dirty radiological bomb – is now in my judgement, a real and present danger to
Britain and its national security.”
919.  Addressing the effects of chemical and biological agents, Mr Blair stated that Iraq
was “not the only part of this threat”. But it was “the test of whether we treat the threat
seriously”. Mr Blair added that, faced with the threat:
“… the world should unite. The UN should be the focus both of diplomacy and of
action. That is what [resolution] 1441 said … to break it now, and to will the ends
but not the means, would do more damage in the long term to the UN than any
other single course that we could pursue. To fall back into the lassitude of the last
12 years; to talk, to discuss, to debate but never to act; to declare our will but not
to enforce it; and to continue with strong language but with weak intentions – that
is the worst course imaginable. If we pursue that course, when the threat returns,
from Iraq or elsewhere, who will then believe us? What price our credibility with
the next tyrant?”
920.  Mr Blair stated:
“… there will in any event be no sound future for the United Nations – no guarantee
against the repetition of these events – unless we recognise the urgent need for a
political agenda we can unite upon.
“What we have witnessed here is the consequence of Europe and the United States
dividing from each other … the paralysis of the UN has been born out of the division
that there is.”
921.  Mr Blair stated that there was a risk of the world being divided into rival poles of
power “with the US and its allies in one corner and France, Germany, Russia and their
allies in the other”. That would be “profoundly dangerous”. There was “resentment of
US dominance” and “fear of US unilateralism”.
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