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The Report of the Iraq Inquiry
940.  On 6 February, Air Chief Marshal Sir Jock Stirrup, the Chief of Air Staff, replied:
“The RAF can sustain its current commitments, but with the likely increased
involvement in Afghanistan our air transport, support helicopters and possibly
RAF Regiment forces will be seriously stretched.”497
941.  The minutes of the DMB on 26 February 2004 agreed a large number of service
enhancements and savings measures as part of the Spending Review.498
942.  The DMB recognised that rotary capability “had been a constraint for some
time”. Helicopters were “used everywhere, and were one of the key ingredients of
lower intensity operations”. On that basis, several proposed measures affecting
“key operational enablers (Puma, Gazelle, Sea King, Chinook) had already been
reprieved” but a number of remaining measures reduced DLO support capability.
943.  The DMB considered a paper by Mr Woolley which detailed all the measures.499
944.  Mr Woolley wrote: “The Army’s current and planned operational tempo
exceeds Defence Planning Assumptions.” His paper had taken into account work
from commitments and programmes staff, in conjunction with Front Line Commands
and PJHQ, to assess the UK’s current and likely future military commitments over the
following 30 months. That assessment was:
Iraq would continue to be a medium scale operation until the end of March 2006
when it would downsize to a small scale operation.
The Afghanistan commitment would remain small scale until January 2005 when
it would increase to a “small(+) to medium scale(‑)” until the end of January
2006. It would become a small scale operation from the end of January 2006.
945.  Mr Woolley wrote that Land Command had previously taken a number of measures
into its core programme to contain expenditure within control levels, including the
reduction of rotary environmental training by 25 percent which had “impaired battlefield
helicopter readiness and constrained operational flexibility in Northern Ireland”. There
had been further reductions in rotary wing activity in Northern Ireland as part of a
deliberate switch in operational focus to Iraq.
946.  Mr Woolley wrote:
“Collectively, these measures have already started to erode the Army’s core
competencies in war‑fighting at formation level, and overall readiness levels.
The cumulative effect of this will be to progressively degrade the effective delivery
of force elements within the Land component.”
497  Minute CAS to PSO/CDS, 6 February 2004, ‘Operational Tempo’.
498  Minutes, 26 February 2004, Defence Management Board meeting.
499  Paper Finance Director, [undated], ‘ST/EP04: Years 1 and 2’.
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