The Report
of the Iraq Inquiry
940.
On 6 February,
Air Chief Marshal Sir Jock Stirrup, the Chief of Air Staff,
replied:
“The RAF
can sustain its current commitments, but with the likely
increased
involvement
in Afghanistan our air transport, support helicopters and
possibly
RAF Regiment
forces will be seriously stretched.”497
941.
The minutes of
the DMB on 26 February 2004 agreed a large number of
service
enhancements
and savings measures as part of the Spending
Review.498
942.
The DMB
recognised that rotary capability “had been a constraint for
some
time”.
Helicopters were “used everywhere, and were one of the key
ingredients of
lower
intensity operations”. On that basis, several proposed measures
affecting
“key operational
enablers (Puma, Gazelle, Sea King, Chinook) had already
been
reprieved”
but a number of remaining measures reduced DLO support
capability.
943.
The DMB
considered a paper by Mr Woolley which detailed all the
measures.499
944.
Mr Woolley
wrote: “The Army’s current and planned operational
tempo
exceeds
Defence Planning Assumptions.” His paper had taken into account
work
from
commitments and programmes staff, in conjunction with Front Line
Commands
and PJHQ,
to assess the UK’s current and likely future military commitments
over the
following
30 months. That assessment was:
•
Iraq would
continue to be a medium scale operation until the end of March
2006
when it
would downsize to a small scale operation.
•
The
Afghanistan commitment would remain small scale until January 2005
when
it would
increase to a “small(+) to medium scale(‑)” until the end of
January
2006. It
would become a small scale operation from the end of January
2006.
945.
Mr Woolley
wrote that Land Command had previously taken a number of
measures
into its
core programme to contain expenditure within control levels,
including the
reduction
of rotary environmental training by 25 percent which had “impaired
battlefield
helicopter
readiness and constrained operational flexibility in Northern
Ireland”. There
had been
further reductions in rotary wing activity in Northern Ireland as
part of a
deliberate
switch in operational focus to Iraq.
“Collectively,
these measures have already started to erode the Army’s
core
competencies
in war‑fighting at formation level, and overall readiness
levels.
The cumulative
effect of this will be to progressively degrade the effective
delivery
of force
elements within the Land component.”
497
Minute CAS
to PSO/CDS, 6 February 2004, ‘Operational Tempo’.
498
Minutes, 26
February 2004, Defence Management Board meeting.
499
Paper
Finance Director, [undated], ‘ST/EP04: Years 1 and 2’.
160