The Report
of the Iraq Inquiry
reconsider
his position that non‑UOR NACMO should be contained within
the
UOR ceiling.
135.
Mr Hoon
attached a spreadsheet showing the MOD’s actual and estimated
costs
(to April
2003) for “Iraq contingency planning”, which totalled
£1.65bn.
136.
Copies of
Mr Hoon’s letter were sent to Mr Blair and
Mr Straw.
137.
A Treasury
official advised Mr Brown on 17 December that he should agree
both
of Mr Hoon’s
requests.96
On UOR
costs, the official advised:
“Some of
this [UOR] spending is arguably for equipment that would have
been
bought
anyway later … We should stress that in such cases we will claim
back
by either
docking MOD’s EYF, or reducing their Estimates accordingly next
year.”
138.
On non‑UOR
NACMO, the official advised that if preparations were to
move
forward on
the track agreed by Mr Hoon and Mr Blair, access to the
Reserve was
necessary.
Preparing a force would cost about £650m and maintaining it at a
state of
readiness
about £200m a month, whether the UK went to war or not. The
official advised
Mr Brown
that the Treasury should put in place arrangements “that keep the
costs
clearly on
the agenda”, and that Mr Brown should ask Mr Hoon for
monthly reports on
current and
planned activities. Those reports would provide the basis for
“ongoing joint
consideration
of the costs of the strategy”.
139.
The official
also advised that the £1.65bn figure represented the cost if the
military
operation
was “cancelled end of March, clear up and go home in April”. The
costs
of
war‑fighting, missiles and ammunition, and “post‑conflict
stabilisation” would be
additional.
140.
Mr Hoon
telephoned Mr Boateng on 23 December to discuss access to
the
Reserve.97
Mr Hoon’s
Private Secretary reported to MOD officials that
Mr Boateng
had said
that any system needed to meet the MOD’s needs, take account of
“broader
financial
implications”, and enable the Treasury to identify clearly that
costs were
genuinely
additional.
141.
Mr Boateng
wrote to Mr Hoon later that day.98
Mr Boateng
agreed to increase the
ceiling for
UORs by £200m, to £500m. With regard to non‑UOR NACMO,
Mr Boateng
stated that
access to the Reserve was usually only granted once an operation
had
been
“declared”. In the current “preparatory phase”, he offered to
create a “distinct
envelope
for build‑up costs”, with four specific Heads of Expenditure
(operation‑specific
training;
air/sea charter; spares, maintenance and logistics; and other
infrastructure
elements),
with an initial allocation of £500m. The Treasury would authorise
and monitor
expenditure
within those Heads of Expenditure, rather than as a single
block.
96
Minute
Treasury [junior official] to Chancellor, 17 December 2002,
[untitled].
97
Minute
Watkins to MOD DG RP, 23 December 2002, ‘Iraq: Briefing the Chief
Secretary to the Treasury’.
98
Letter
Boateng to Hoon, 23 December 2002, ‘Iraq Costs’.
466